Yet UK is leaving lockdown with deaths and cases higher than when it went in
A new report published by Imperial College in the scientific journal Nature has calculated the course that the coronavirus pandemic would have taken if 11 countries across Europe – including, belatedly, the UK – had not initiated school closures and lock-downs.
It has found that the death toll across those 11 countries would have been 3,100,000 higher if they had not locked down.
The study also found that lock-downs had reduced the ‘R’-rate – the speed at which the virus was able to infect new victims – was reduced by as much as 80% because of the lock-down measures imposed by different countries.
The Tories were slow to close schools and slow to lock down in other ways – even after it finally ‘realised’ that Boris Johnson’s ‘herd immunity’ plan would kill hundreds of thousands of people, Johnson still dragged his feet for another week before announcing the UK’s lax version of lock-down and took until today to even make a token attempt at quarantining passengers even from the world’s then-worst hotspots.
Yet the Tories were calling less than two weeks after lock-down began for schools to re-open quickly – as were Keir Starmer and other centrists – and have pushed through the re-opening even though studies in France and Germany have found schools are hotbeds of infection.
Even though Johnson’s own scientific advisers have warned him that doing so will spark a new wave of infections.
Johnson is taking the UK further and further out of lock-down, even though infection and death rates have stayed stubbornly higher than they were when it went in.
And long before all this, the Tories quietly more than tripled temporary mortuary capacity in anticipation of the massive second wave they fully expect their actions to cause.
Lock-down saved many lives – even though many thousands were needlessly lost because of Johnson’s delays. Johnson knows his haste to lift it will cost many more.
The SKWAWKBOX needs your support. This blog is provided free of charge but depends on the generosity of its readers to be viable. If you can afford to, please click here to arrange a one-off or modest monthly donation via PayPal or here for a monthly donation via GoCardless. Thanks for your solidarity so this blog can keep bringing you information the Establishment would prefer you not to know about.
If you wish to reblog this post for non-commercial use, you are welcome to do so – see here for more.