If you’ve noticed a lot of suddenly-bald ‘centrists’, Tories and media editors around, it just might have something to do with the latest poll from Number Cruncher Politics.
The ‘shock’ poll shows Labour leading the Tories after a seven-point swing*, with the Tories tumbling by five points while Labour climbed by two compared to the organisation’s previous poll:
As the SKWAWKBOX noted earlier this week, months of relentless smears seem to have done little or nothing to dent Corbyn’s essential popularity with the voting public in spite of the efforts of just about the entire mainstream media, as well as those of combined Tories and Tory-lites.
Last weekend, eighteen thousand people at the biggest silent disco in history spontaneously burst into ‘Oh Jeremy Corbyn’ as the White Stripes’ Seven Nation Army started coming through their headphones – while the latest BMG Research poll gave Labour a similar lead and ICM also showed Labour leading.
Polls have tended to significantly under-estimate Labour’s popularity.
Worryingly for the Tories, Labour’s lead is huge among the three younger age-groups – 18-24, 25-34 and 35-44, while Corbyn’s party is only marginally behind in the 45-54 age-group – and Labour has shown it can motivate the younger demographic to vote:
With smears failing to stick – and becoming ever more desperate – and Labour set to surge as soon as general election conditions force the state broadcaster into something resembling balanced coverage, those in the Establishment who have hair may well be tearing it out.
*In layman’s terms, most consider the swing to be the net of the movement between the two parties being compared. In technical terms, pollsters divide the net by two and would call a seven-point net change a 3.5% swing.
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