Polling boost since last week’s leader debates and huge numbers of new voters explain intensified Establishment attacks
Labour’s post-debate polling and a the ongoing surge in new voter applications appear to have the Tories and their Establishment allies rattled – combined with Boris Johnson’s inability to campaign or debate.
The Tory polling lead fell by as much as seven points to as low as seven percent – and Kantar’s post-debate poll shows Labour rising by five points compared to pre-debate numbers.
While the Tory lead may still seem significant, recent history will show why the Cons and their helpers are so worried. In 2017 – the day before voters went to cast their general election ballots – polling companies were reporting a Tory lead that makes their current numbers look shaky:
Polling gave the Tories a twelve-point lead – an increase compared to the previous poll – the day before Labour smashed the Tories majority and came within a whisker of taking Downing Street.
At the same time as Labour’s polling is improving, the surge in new voter applications continues up to today’s deadline, with hundreds of thousands registering per day, including 366,000 just yesterday – and today’s total on course to be over 400,000.
The vast majority of new voters are in the younger age groups that usually strongly vote Labour.
Tory polling leads that neither the Tories nor their allies trust and are shrinking – and huge numbers of people registering and likely to vote the Tories out.
No wonder the Establishments attacks are increasing in both intensity and desperation.
The message to Labour’s supporters is simple – stay focused on Labour’s policies and vision and on the Tories’ dishonesty. Ignore the Establishment’s attacks and attempts to divert Labour’s grassroots activity into other areas.
If the nation grasps Labour’s policies and the kind of country the UK can be under a Labour government, we all win.
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