‘Poll of polls’ graph shows record Labour surge to biggest GE lead since 2014 – enough for Commons majority

Average of polls shows Labour ahead by six percent – best in five years and big enough for a clear parliamentary majority

A new graph of average ‘Westminster voting intention’ polling figures for the last two months shows Labour turning a Tory lead of almost eight points in March to a Labour lead of six points:

As the chart’s creator Matt Thomas observed:

Labour now has a 6% lead in GE poll of polls over the Tories. Their highest lead since Feb 2014.

Two months ago the Tories were leading by 7.6%. This is a record polling swing outside of a GE campaign.

But that’s not all. The latest polls suggest that if a general election was held now, Labour would win a convincing majority in the House of Commons – wiping out some of the Tories’ best-known names in the process:

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Yes. If Labour's vote goes up even by 3% during a GE campaign (and given media neutrality, I think that's very likely), they would get a landslide. That may be absurd on only 37%, but that's FPTP for you.

— Tom Gauterin (@Ruralmaestro) May 14, 2019

SKWAWKBOX view:

The concerted efforts of mainstream media and anti-Labour mouthpieces both inside and outside the party have persuaded some Labour activists that things are going badly under Jeremy Corbyn – a shameless return to the pre-2017 narrative.

But the numbers show that in spite of the complexity and challenges of the current situation, with the appalling rise of the far-right fuelled by the reckless arrogance of many centrists, Corbyn’s Labour is steering a course for the good of – and that appeals to – the many.

There’s certainly no room for complacency – Labour led in 2014 but lost the 2015 general election under Miliband. But there’s also neither room nor cause for despair. Labour are on course for government – and no MSM water-muddying should be allowed to divert or detract from that fact.

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