New UK cases four times higher per head of population than in Victoria, but lockdown is lifting while Australian state re-imposes
Because of 25 new cases.
Today, the UK had almost 1,000 new cases – in reality far more, as the Tories’ continuing lack of testing and tracing means the government has little real idea of the country’s pool of infection. Victoria has a tenth of the UK’s population, so its 25 cases were equivalent to 250 in the UK.
That’s cases, not deaths – yet the Australian state’s government knows how rapidly the virus can mushroom and is taking no chances, unlike Boris Johnson.
Similarly, Germany – from a point where the virus was almost absent – is currently seeing an ‘R’ rate of new infections of just under three, in spite of a far smaller overall reservoir of infection. In the UK, 280 deaths were added – taking the government’s massively-understated total to almost 43,000 (the real UK death total is recognised to be approaching at least 70,000).
The UK’s case numbers – at least what the government knows about without testing properly – have plateaued and have shown no significant fall in about three weeks. Yet Johnson thinks it’s time to relax further.
The UK’s Chief Medical Officer Chris Whitty said, when social distancing was in its early days, that the 2m-distance rule would,
need to be in place as long as the pandemic lasts.
Johnson has always followed the money and political expediency, rather than the science. But it’s now apparent that in spite of the evidence and in spite of the lead set by other countries showing far more care and caution, Johnson has decided to abandon even the pretence of a science-led approach.
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