Fourteen more people in the UK have died as a result of the COVID-19 coronavirus in the last 24 hours, a 40% increase on yesterday’s death toll.
Based on the rate of increase seen in other countries, this means an approximate daily mortality trajectory over the coming week of:
• Monday 19
• Tuesday 27
• Wednesday 39
• Thursday 55
• Friday 76
• Saturday 107
The UK’s nominal mortality rate – deaths as a percentage of those confirmed infected – for coronavirus is climbing and currently 2.5%. On the current trend it could mirror Spain’s rate of around 4% by next weekend.
The country is probably a week away from being forced into a national lockdown – sooner if the government cares about saving UK lives.
The SKWAWKBOX needs your support. This blog is provided free of charge but depends on the generosity of its readers to be viable. If you can afford to, please click here to arrange a one-off or modest monthly donation via PayPal or here for a monthly donation via GoCardless. Thanks for your solidarity so this blog can keep bringing you information the Establishment would prefer you not to know about.
If you wish to reblog this post for non-commercial use, you are welcome to do so – see here for more.