New polling by most consistently Tory-friendly pollster puts Tories on just 28% – second to show their support in 20s this week
A new poll of Westminster voting intention issued by YouGov shows the Conservatives trailing on just twenty-eight percent:
YouGov has often been described as an ‘outlier’, putting Tory support around five percent higher than other polling companies, so the new poll will be reverberating around Downing Street and Tory association offices.
The poll is the second this week to show Tory support below thirty percent. Two days ago, BMG put the Tories on twenty-nine percent – after a huge fall in less than a month:
LAB: 31% (-3)
CON: 29% (-10)
CHUK: 8% (+8)
LDEM: 8% (-4)
UKIP: 7% (+2)
BREX: 6% (+6)
GRN: 4% (-)
(via @BMGResearch, 02 – 05 Apr. Changes shown versus week of 8 Mar standard voting intention)
The new results mean Labour’s position across the board of polling companies is:
- BMG (Labour +4%)
- Delta (Labour +5%)
- Survation (Labour +4%)
- Kantar (Labour +4%)
- Hanbury (Labour +9%)
- Opinium (Both level)
- ComRes (Both level)
- YouGov (Labour +4%)
Two such results in a few days, particularly by companies with a reputation for more favourable results for the Tories, puts Theresa May’s position under even greater pressure. However, the Tories hamstrung themselves in December, when MPs – many of whom had been severely critical of her performance – voted in her favour in a confidence vote among Conservative MPs. Conservative party rules ban any further no-confidence move for twelve months.
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