Spread of virus and government stubbornness on schools set to put us all in peril – and push up level of immunisation needed to 90% or more
An epidemiologist has accused the Tories of missing ‘a very narrow window’ to react to the threat of spiralling infection rates and contain the COVID-19 coronavirus – and in doing so, of putting not just the UK but the rest of the world in greatly increased danger.
Deepti Gurdasani published her reasoning in a detailed Twitter thread:
Gurdasani points out that the current rate of spread means that even a national lockdown will struggle to contain the pandemic’s growth – and that the government will need to achieve almost universal immunity among the population to achieve any effective ‘herd immunity’ to push the infection rate below the level where it is still able to grow:
Gurdasani is very clear that the failure to close schools – despite months of warnings from experts – has ‘directly’ put the UK in such a precarious position that even a national lockdown is unlikely to cause a downturn in infections unless schools are closed now:
And she warns that the Tories’ delays mean that even if the government closed all schools and locked down right now, the failure to hit vaccination targets means that the UK is almost out of options to get on top of the latest surge:
Gurdasani points out that the ‘zero COVID’ success achieved by nations such as New Zealand was entirely possible for the UK and that the Tories’ continually slack response has fuelled the rise of the new mutations that are now said to pose such a threat – and that the Tories have known this was the consequence for ten months:
So central is the role of schools and the Tories’ failure to react appropriately in the ongoing disaster, that Gurdasani stresses again that they are the key – before concluding by warning that just having a vaccine may not solve the problem even in the long term, making the Tories’ approach ‘deeply negligent’:
Tragically for this country, Boris Johnson and his cronies show little sign of heeding the warnings any more than they have for the past year, at a cost of tens of thousands of lives – and their fiddling around the edges by delaying the opening of some schools is unlikely to be cause for hope that they might finally get it.
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