Labour has made major gains on Tories more or less across board of polling companies
Kantar‘s latest poll of voting intention shows Labour making a huge 13% gain relative to the Tories:
Labour 35% (+4%)
Tories 32% (-9%)
BMG‘s latest made Labour static – but still gaining four percent on the Tories:
CON: 35% (-4)
LAB: 34% (=)
LDM: 11% (-1
Meanwhile Hanbury Strategy, a new member of the British Polling Council, showed Labour leading the Tories by a distance:
This means that Labour’s standing across an array of polls is as follows:
Kantar – 3% ahead
Delta – 5% ahead
Survation – 4% ahead
ComRes – level
Opinium – level
YouGov – 1% behind
However, in all of these Labour has made major gains versus the Tories – even in the case of YouGov, which was a outlier in giving the Tories a substantial lead in its previous poll but showed a 9% Labour gain in its latest.
Data for the majority of these polls were taken before Theresa May was forced to turn to Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn for help – and before Labour’s proposed Brexit deal was welcomed emphatically by Irish PM Leo Varadkar.
And before May was forced to go cap in hand to the EU for a further Brexit extension, too.
Labour’s polling surge at the end of March led the SKWAWKBOX to warn that a new series of media smears was bound to follow – and so it turned out. Since the surge is continuing and smears are the only tactic the Establishment has, watch out for still more.
No wonder the Tories are desperately fighting to avoid a new general election.
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