Most accurate pollster in 2017 election gives Labour a 4-point lead
Survation, by far the most accurate pollster in the 2017 general election, has published its latest polling of Westminster polling intention:
The Tories’ 35% figure – which matches by the latest YouGov poll – is their lowest in around three years. Labour is the only party to have gained more than one percent compared to the previous Survation poll.
Less than two years ago, the Tories were polling at 50%.
Recent polls suggested the Tories led by as much as ten percent – and although these always looked like outliers, a significant proportion of Labour’s polling improvement may well be connected with an improved focus of online and local Labour activists on positive campaigning and a wider refusal to engage with the huge amount of negative trolling employed across all media by a politically-bankrupt right.
Of course, a substantial renewed Labour polling lead is usually followed by a new attack or smear, so Labour supporters would be well advised to continue to apply the principles shown in the preceding paragraph.
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