An explosive new poll by Survation – the most accurate of the polling companies by far during the 2017 general election – has blown apart the claims by advocates of a so-called “people’s vote” that supporting a new referendum would see Labour rocket into power.
The poll gives Labour a 3-point lead in Westminster voting intention – but also shows that if anyone other than the Tories called for a new referendum and Labour supported it, Corbyn’s party would lose vote share, with a four-net loss to the Tories:
The only scenario in which Labour would be wise to support a new referendum is shown in the fourth section. If the Tories called for a referendum – and it can only be the Tories, since the LibDems and other small parties are already calling for a referendum and Labour is leading in voting intention – then Labour would have no sensible option but to support it.
But in that unlikely event, Brexit supporters would desert the Tories in droves anyway.
The centrists have seen their fantasy exposed. Watch out for an escalation of anti-Labour smears over the weekend.
By contrast, the poll shows that Labour’s leadership – and a large part of the left media – have yet again called it right.
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