Busy Brexit week ahead – as May gambles she can manipulate the DUP


This week is going to be a busy one in Brexit terms, according to parliamentary sources.

After weeks of priming the UK public to expect the worst, with much discussion last week of no-deal scenarios and the resignation of a minister amid predictions of no-deal disaster, Theresa May will announce a deal on Tuesday and give a speech in the Commons on Wednesday, in the hope that enough people will be desperate enough to avoid no deal that they’ll accept any deal.

Labour will vote against May’s deal and may be able to block it as long as ‘moderates’ do not side with May to undermine Corbyn or through buying into the panic the Establishment has been building – and a handful of Tory ‘rebels’ actually rebel for a change.

May, meanwhile, will be furiously horse-trading behind the scenes to try to scramble her deal through, offering any and every promise – and will be hoping that her attempt to tie the hands of the DUP will succeed.

The DUP set out to achieve a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic. May has offered them a choice between a soft border in the Irish Sea – or a hard border in the Irish Sea, gambling that they will choose to accept a soft border rather than voting on principle or obstinacy to reject her deal and bring her down.

The DUP has been playing along so far. But if they decide not to be May’s dupes and her gamble fails – and she has shown few signs of such a capability previously – a no-deal Brexit requires a vote and Labour will block that, too.

An unsuccessful week for May will leave Labour a hundred days to bring about a change of government through a general election. If Labour wins, the party will apply for – and undoubtedly obtain – an extension to Article 50 to complete proper negotiations for a constructive Brexit deal.

Much as May and the Establishment have been trying to present it as such, the only real choice the country has is not between between May’s deal or no deal – and certainly not between Brexit and no-Brexit – but rather between Tory government and Labour government. This week could be a big step toward it.

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  1. If the Labour Left were still even vaguely socialist, it would have a simple test: does any supranational arrangement compromise the extension of public ownership? If it does so, it is unacceptable, end of story. In which case the Labour Left would not touch the EU Treaties, EEA Agreement, Chequers plan and Canada plus with a bargepole.

    1. Reminds me of a song from ‘Close the Coalhouse Door’

      ” As soon as this pub closes … as soon as this pub closes …
      As soon as this pub clo-o-o-ses –
      The revolution starts!”

      Socialism in one country never had a good look.

  2. The Tories are split nationalist Neo-Liberals v Globalist Neo- Liberals with the former probably being the majority and the Tory Rank and file backing the nationalist Neo-Liberal wing.
    They have even nicked Labour’s customs union idea but will only be a temporary backstop until they can try to resolve the N Ireland issue.
    Then perhaps bourgeois Karmer shows his true hand as a remainer and thinks his game of patience will win a second peoples vote but what was wrong with the first one Right Wing Labour? Was it the wrong people?
    If we can win an election and democratically control labour & capital supply (a right countries had Pre-Neo- Liberslism) then if other countries follow suit
    then collectively in Europe (and elsewhere) we can end Neo-Liberalism!
    The greatest myth that the EC has been able to pull the wool over peoples eyes with is that international solidarity can only be built via a Neo-Liberal EC structure when of course we can still do it without its framework and build another – Yes We Can!

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