Analysis

Greens more popular than Labour among 2024 LABOUR voters – and every other party’s

More than half of 2024 Labour voters considering switching – and only need for more radical, recognisable leadership seems to be hold Greens back

L-R Zack Polanski; Adrian Ramsay and Ellie Chowns, who are campaigning on a joint ticket (Screenshot from the Greens’ leadership election Wikipedia page)

More than half the voters who backed the Labour party in the 2024 general election are unlikely switching to the Greens or LibDems next time round – and the Greens are more popular than Labour with voters who voted for every other party, including Labour, according to the latest polling.

In a poll by Thinks Insight & Strategy, 52% of 2024 Labour voters said there is ‘some’, good’ or ‘very high’ chance that they would vote for one of those two parties, while a YouGov poll of how favourably voters for all parties now rate any party, including the one they voted for – and the results, like those of the recent local elections, were a disaster for Labour, with more people who went for any party in 2024 now rating the Greens more highly than Labour, and Labour voters were no exception:

The main issue preventing the Greens being even more popular is that of leadership, according to another question in the YouGov poll, with both current co-leaders scoring a net negative, but with both positive and negative vastly outnumbered by those who don’t know enough to have an opinion:

The scale of the ‘don’t knows’ suggests that the Greens need a recognisable, relatable leader who is prepared to take strong positions and clear stances on important issues.

Quite apart from his more left-wing politics – which could fill the yawning chasm on the left now among all major parliamentary parties and meet the public’s obvious hunger for real change – these factors would seem to favour the chances of Zack Polanski, who has been the most outspoken on the issues of Gaza and the Starmer government’s war on freedom of speech and the right to protest, more than a joint candidacy of two MPs seeking to be ‘co-leaders’ in the same style of the current incumbents who have failed to make an impression on the public’s collective awareness or psyche.

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7 comments

  1. Great analysis Skwawkie. Like JeremyC said, democratic socialism (aka ‘labourism’) is RED GREEN. His GE18 labour manifesto embodied this with “new economics” that included local control of socially-controlled energy to reduce emissions and help prevent climate chaos. He argued that to go green, the UK must nationalise energy.

    The Green’s have seen significant growth and electoral success SINCE GE24 (esp the 2024 local elections) because they resonate with the values of historical Labour voters dissatisfied with sturmer Labour’s values, policies and performance.

    The Green Party’s ideology combines environmentalism with left-wing economic positions. Co-leaders Carla Denyer and Adrian Ramsay, emphasise the need for bold action on climate, the NHS, and housing – i.e. Corbyn and Labour’s historical goals.

    What’s not to like? More and more ‘dearly-departed former Lab members and trade union members need to join local Green parties and fill the gap right-wing Labour is creating.

    1. PW’s KernowDamo’s vid – “Morgan McSweeney’s Masterplan” .. brilliant, spot-on!
      Starmer = -46 Points in Net Favourability, down -34 points with Labour voters.

      I suspect the LabourRight will be changing their leader soon – don’t get drawn in to their deception and lies when they do – even with a new leader, Labour is the Establishment’s eternal patsy. Being complicit in genocide is not uncomfortable to them.
      In north Leeds the Greens are attracting lots of former Lab members and voters. Thanks PW.

    2. The last time I heard the question “what’s not to like” it was referring to a smarmerite green paper, not green (labour) ideology or policies.

      But then again, the green paper I refer to ended up being just another worthless bogroll, as everyone knew it would.

      But that’s smarmerism for ya. That’s why people don’t like smarmerism OR smarmer.

  2. I voted for the Green Party at the last election and there that is positive.

    However, I do not think they have the war in the Ukraine right and they only really seem to talk about nuclear weapons when asked and they do not use the best arguments.

  3. I see that Luke Akehurst has written an article for Labourlist about how, so he claims, Labour should concentrate on Reform voters and ignore progressive voters.

    Interestingly, he ignores the threat to Labour from the SNP and Plaid Cymru.

    He then talks about how Labour should represent working class people:

    “What’s social democracy and the Labour Party for if it’s not to represent the political and economic concerns of working people and the communities that have been most ravaged by free market economics?”

    Is this such an example?

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