Seems ‘new’, ‘virulent’ virus strain doesn’t like school closures
The ‘new’ ‘UK strain’ of coronavirus that the government is blaming for the rocketing rate of coronavirus cases and deaths in this country has been in Italy for at least nine days, as it was identified by 14 December in that country, as the ‘Nextstrain’ site notes:
However, infection rates in Italy have been falling and continue to fall sharply, even though the 5-6 day typical incubation period of the virus would allow new cases to show well within within those nine days:
Italy imposed a new school shutdown in November. The Tories squandered a chance to time the last England-wide lockdown to coincide with the half-term holidays and insisted – with Labour leader Keir Starmer’s enthusiastic backing – that schools must remain open as normal, even when England’s second and far less stringent ‘lockdown’ eventually came.
School-children of all ages now suffer the highest levels of infection of the whole population:
But that situation began to emerge long before the supposedly-new ‘mutant’ strain became the Tories’ excuse for rising numbers of cases, hospitalisations and deaths – and scientists continue to say that it is too early to conclude that the new strain spreads faster. They also say that the current rates are primarily attributable to the Tories’ failure to take the right steps to contain it, rather than any new characteristics of any new strain:
And the government’s own scientists continue to avoid confirming and even directly contradict the claims of Johnson and Hancock – such as in Hancock’s press conference just this afternoon:
“We have no evidence that this virus is more transmissible in children yet“. No evidence.
And the presence for – at the very least – the last nine days of the virus in Italy, while the number of cases in Italy continues to fall, further suggests that whatever the capabilities of any new strain, they has little or nothing to do with the current rampage of the virus.
Which makes it very much the fault, yet again, of the Tories and their helpers – and the supposed ‘70% more transmissible’ claims look very much like ‘cover our arse’ spin.
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