Survation – the most accurate polling company at last year’s general election – has published results of its survey of sentiment toward Theresa May’s Brexit deal among UK voters. Its results may surprise some, given the dismal nature of May’s proposal:
The numbers among Labour and remain supporters may well reflect the May’s relentless scare stories about a no-deal Brexit if her deal is rejected by MPs, which has of course been picked up and amplified by the mainstream media.
But the numbers also show that not only has Jeremy Corbyn’s handling of the Brexit issue so far been as intelligent as the SKWAWKBOX and even on occasion the BBC have observed, but also that Corbyn’s and Labour’s proposed way forward for Brexit is the only one that could realistically unite a majority of people in the country behind it.
Labour’s plan, with its permanent customs union, holds all the advantages of Theresa May’s deal – but without its hideous and glaring weaknesses and dangers.
The ‘backstop’ and the need for unique regulatory alignment in Northern Ireland, the difficulty getting out of unique arrangements for Northern Ireland without creating an ‘Irish Sea’ border and so on are all erased by a permanent customs union for the whole UK.
As well as avoiding serious risks and disadvantages, Labour brings far more positives to the table in its plan, which is stronger on workers rights, human rights, employment protections, the environment and more.
It also avoids tying the UK into a situation where the nationalisation of rail and utilities – massively supported by a huge majority of the population across the political spectrum – would be blocked, as May’s deal proposes.
The Bank of England’s dire-seeming – though not as bad as they’re being presented – post-Brexit predictions today are likely to have increased support for May’s deal among a section of the public, simply because people will fear apocalyptic ‘worst case scenarios’.
But Labour’s deal would be far better – and far more popular in a big majority of the population. The greater simplicity of the plan would mean that the UK would have a quicker transition, saving tens of billions of pounds – and at the same time avoiding the damage to the UK economy that May’s deal or no-deal would do.
Yet it would still mean the UK leaving the EU, bringing more leave voters in Labour’s heartlands and elsewhere onside, while remainers would be attracted to the stability and closeness of a positive relationship – and formal trading status – with our EU neighbours.
The numbers in the final column also demonstrate the delusion of the “people’s vote”-obsessives, who continue to insist that all problems would be solved via another referendum.
Significantly more remain voters support May’s deal than oppose it – a greater number of remainers still envisage the UK’s future outside the EU than see Brexit being overturned. A new referendum would be no less divisive and damaging than the last one – and quite probably more so.
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