The latest ‘Westminster voting intention’ polling by Survation – by far the most accurate pollsters at last year’s General Election, in spite of ‘MSM’ mockery for their predictions – has Labour showing a solid lead of seven points over the Tories, at 44% vs 37% overall. This is the seventh Survation poll in a row showing Labour ahead:
However, that overall number masks some remarkable figures in the detailed polling breakdown by age band.
As would be expected, Labour have a strong lead in the 18-24yo range – though the scale of the lead, at fifty points (64.9%/14.8%) may send a chill down Tory spines and makes clear why Tories are uniformly against allowing 16- and 17-year-olds to vote.
But the way the figures stack up across the next three age-bands are likely to be like icy fingers on Conservative hearts.
The percentages per band are as follows:
But taken as a whole, the percentage in the 25-54 years range that would vote for Labour is over fifty percent (50.2%) – against just twenty-eight percent who said they would vote Tory.
As Twitter user Matt Thomas put it:
The numbers above are in the ‘don’t know/refused removed’ polling table, but even with potential ‘shy Tories’ included in the version of the table with those who didn’t know which party they’d vote for or declined to answer, Labour has 41% in the 25-54 age range vs just 22% for the Tories.
The older age ranges, as expected, pull the numbers partially back toward the Tories. However, the fact that the 45-54 age range has the highest percentages for Labour – and will not magically swing to the Tories as people age a year or two – are bad news for those who want to maintain the right-wing status quo.
Could that age range reflect the fact that younger grandparents are tech-savvy, able to access genuinely free news sources and less gulled by the right-dominated, billionaire owned ‘MSM’ – and therefore see more clearly the damage the status quo is going to do to their grandchildren?
Small wonder that the Establishment is desperately trying to impede access to online, independent news sources.
Maybe that Labour should be pushing its 600,000 members (plus union affiliates) to teach their grandparents and older family or neighbours the virtues of getting their news online instead of relying on the press and the BBC for their perspectives.
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