As the SKWAWKBOX showed on Monday night, expert constitutional lawyers say that if Theresa May is unable to pass her Queen’s Speech – already delayed by her inability to reach agreement with a demanding DUP that is spooked by the vehemently negative reaction to it among Britons – Jeremy Corbyn will automatically become Prime Minister by legal convention and precedent:
For May’s Queen’s Speech to be defeated requires, based on an effective total of 643 MPS (seven Sinn Fein MPs do not take their seats) and assuming that all ten DUP MPs back the Tories, a total of at least twelve Tory MPs to rebel against their leader – preferably twenty or more to offset the possibility of a few right-wing blairites deciding to betray their party and the country by supporting the Tories.
Either number may sound unlikely. But in the current febrile situation in the Conservative party, the obvious conclusion is unlikely to be the correct one.
On Monday evening, Tory Peer and Brexit minister George Bridges announced his resignation.
At the same time, another senior member of the Dept for Exiting the EU was sacked:
As the Spectator observed, this looks like the beginning of an unravelling – and worse was to come, with ITV political editor Robert Peston revealing:
He will ‘have them with the help of Labour’ – sounds like someone is very angry with May and her ‘no deal is better than a bad deal’ lie. It also sounds like an organised rebellion – multiple MPs, as one MP on his own cannot ‘have’ the government.
A significant number of Tory MPs are known to be angry with the Prime Minister and to want revenge.
It could be that we’ve just moved a big step closer to a Corbyn premiership – and that May’s panic-move of delaying a Queen’s Speech for the first time in history is not going to be enough to save her and the Tory party.
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