The latest attempt by the Establishment – including the Labour right – to disparage Labour and its leadership is to ask ‘why isn’t Labour polling miles ahead when the Tories are in chaos?’. This nonsense, of course, ignores the fact that the ‘MSM’ ignore much of the worst of the Tory chaos while making a huge noise about any Labour issues. General Election rules are not in force at the moment, so they’re free to smear and skew again – ‘business as usual’.
But it also ignores the rank inaccuracy of the polling that we’re presented with, which completely failed – Survation apart – to predict what the SKWAWKBOX and others were telling readers about weeks before 8 June: the ‘Corbyn surge’.
Labour currently enjoy a two-point lead in the latest polling, but according Paul Brand of ITV, the Tories’ own internal polling tells a very different story:
Before the General Election was called, public polling had the Tories around twenty-five points ahead – and Labour were almost neck and neck with the Tories on voting percentages on General Election night. No mainstream commentator had given a hint of what was about to happen.
So a hidden ten-point increase in Labour’s real standing – and the BBC and right-wing media hiding the scale of the resulting Tory panic – is entirely credible.
It does, however, raise the question of why public polling is so different. Perhaps Tory commentator Peter Hitchens is right:
Polling is meant to influence public opinion, more than to reflect it.
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